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Understanding Trump’s tariff proposals

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At the end of January 2025, the U.S. government revealed its intentions to impose tariffs on imported pharmaceuticals, steel, and computer chips. This action seeks to strengthen local manufacturing and tackle trade imbalances. Yet, these steps might profoundly impact global trade relations, especially influencing major U.S. partners in Asia.

Effects on the Semiconductor Sector

Impact on Semiconductor Industry

The semiconductor sector is poised to be significantly affected by these proposed tariffs. Asia dominates global chip production, accounting for over 80% of the world’s semiconductors. Leading companies such as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) and South Korea’s Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are major suppliers to the U.S. market. For instance, TSMC, the world’s largest contract chipmaker, derives approximately 70% of its revenue from North American clients, including tech giants like Nvidia and Apple. While TSMC is investing in a $65 billion manufacturing facility in Arizona, the majority of its production remains in Taiwan, making it susceptible to the proposed tariffs. Similarly, Samsung and SK Hynix, which together control around 75% of the global DRAM market, could face challenges due to their substantial exports to the U.S.

Pharmaceutical Sector Concerns

Steel Sector and Wider Economic Effects

Steel Industry and Broader Economic Implications

International Trade Relationships and Possible Retaliation

The suggested tariffs have raised apprehensions among U.S. allies in Asia. Nations such as Taiwan, South Korea, and Japan, which play crucial roles in the global supply chains for semiconductors and pharmaceuticals, could face economic hurdles due to diminished competitiveness in the U.S. market. These countries might attempt to negotiate exemptions or contemplate imposing retaliatory tariffs on U.S. exports, potentially initiating a series of trade conflicts.

National Economic Factors

Domestic Economic Considerations

While the tariffs aim to promote domestic manufacturing, they could have mixed effects on the U.S. economy. Importers are likely to pass increased costs onto consumers, leading to higher prices for goods such as electronics and medications. Additionally, industries dependent on imported components may face challenges in sourcing materials, potentially hindering production and innovation. Economists caution that such protectionist measures could disrupt supply chains and may not yield the intended benefits of job creation in the targeted industries.

By Amelia Reed

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